Extreme Risks and the Global Environment

CSER’s approach and expertise are well-suited to increasing understanding of extreme risks arising from interactions between human activities and natural factors, and the possibilities for better predicting and managing these risks. These risks also tend to be under-studied at present and generally under-recognised by policy-makers.

One of the most concerning features of unsustainable environmental change is that non-linear interactions can amplify each other to cause runaway and potentially catastrophic ecosystem shifts, inducing tipping points. CSER’s work in this area will aim to improve understanding of how ecological tipping points, climate change and socio-political systems interact with each other. This work will provide essential input into the process of developing policy and technological responses to these challenges.

Additional topics that we are interested in exploring include:

  • Extreme climate change scenarios from a scientific, economic and policy perspective.
  • Climate and food security.
  • Statistics, Bayesian approaches and machine-learning applied to measuring indicators of climate change and their relationship to environmental impacts.
  • Analysis of the potential risks of geo-engineering and its potential role as a last-ditch approach to combat extreme climate change.