Selected publications and reports from the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk.


Catherine Rhodes. (Forthcoming). Scientific Freedom and Responsibility in the Biosecurity Context, Chapter 5. Scientific Freedom: An Anthology, Manchester University Press.

Adrian Currie. (Forthcoming). Rock, Bone & Ruin. MIT Press.


Holly Lawford-Smith & Adrian Currie. (2017). Accelerating the Carbon Cycle: The Ethics of Enhanced Weathering. Biology Letters.

Seán Ó hÉigeartaigh. (2017). Technological Wild Cards: Existential Risk and a Changing Humanity. The Next Step: Exponential Life, BBVA OpenMind Foundation.


Catherine Rhodes. (2016). Managing pandemics in a fragmented world: contributions of regional systems. Quarterly Risk Report: Resetting the frame, Global Challenges Foundation.

Seán Ó hÉigeartaigh. (2016). Would you hand over a decision to a machine? David Edmonds (ed.), Philosophers Take On The World, OUP.

Tatsuya Amano, Juan P. González-Varo & William J. Sutherland. (2016). Languages are still a major barrier to global science. PLOS Biology.

Avin, Shahar (2016) Centralised Funding and the Division of Cognitive Labour.

Julius Weitzdörfer. (2016). Discussion Report of the First Session. Raetzke / Feldmann / Frank (eds.), News from the Front Lines of Nuclear Law: Proceedings of the AIDN / INLA Regional Conference 2015 in Nürnberg (Baden-Baden: Nomos, 2016) 43-48.

William J. Sutherland, Phoebe Barnard, Steven Broad, Mick Clout, Ben Connor, Isabelle M. Côté, Lynn V. Dicks, Helen Doran, Abigail C. Entwistle, Erica Fleishman, Marie Fox, Kevin J. Gaston, David W. Gibbons, Zhigang Jiang, Brandon Keim, Fiona A. Lickorish, Paul Markillie, Kathryn A. Monk, James W. Pearce-Higgins, Lloyd S. Peck, Jules Pretty, Mark D. Spalding, Femke H. Tonneijck, Bonnie C. Wintle & Nancy Ockendon. (2016). A 2017 horizon scan of emerging issues for global conservation and biological diversity. Trends in Ecology and Evolution.

William J. Sutherland, Steven Broad, Jacqueline Caine, Mick Clout, Lynn V. Dicks, Helen Doran, Abigail C. Entwistle, Erica Fleishman, David W. Gibbons, Brandon Keim, Becky LeAnstey, Fiona A. Lickorish, Paul Markillie, Kathryn A. Monk, Diana Mortimer, Nancy Ockendon, James W. Pearce-Higgins, Lloyd S. Peck, Jules Pretty, Johan Rockström, Mark D. Spalding, Femke H. Tonneijck, Bonnie C. Wintle & Katherine E. Wright. (2016). A Horizon Scan of Global Conservation Issues for 2016. Trends in Ecology and Evolution.

Fiona Fidler, Yung En Chee, Bonnie C. Wintle, Mark A. Burgman, Michael A. McCarthy & Ascelin Gordon. (2016). Meta-research for Evaluating Reproducibility in Ecology and Evolution. BioScience.

Anca Hanea, Marissa McBride, Mark A. Burgman, Bonnie C. Wintle, Fiona Fidler, Louisa Flander, Charles R. Twardy, Steven Mascaro & Brian Manning. (2016). InvestigateDiscussEstimateAggregate for structured expert judgement. International Journal of Forecasting DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2016.02.008


Haim Gaifman & Yang Liu (2015). Context-dependent utilities: A solution to the problem of constant acts in Savage. van der Hoek, W., Holliday, W. H., and Wang, W. F., editors, Proceedings of the Fifth International Workshop on Logic, Rationality, and Interaction, volume LNCS 9394, pages 90–101. Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelber.

Shahar Avin. (2015). Funding Science by Lottery. Recent Developments in the Philosophy of Science: EPSA13 Helsinki.

David King, Daniel Schrag, Zhou Dadi, Qi Ye and Arunabha Ghosh (including a section by Martin Rees). (2015). Climate Change: A Risk Assessment. Centre for Science and Policy.

Partha Dasgupta, Veerabhadran Ramanathan, Peter Raven, Mgr Marcelo Sánchez Sorondo, Margaret Archer, Paul J. Crutzen, Pierre Léna, Yuan Tse Lee, Mario J. Molina, Martin Rees, Jeffrey Sachs & Joachim Schellnhuber. (2015). Climate Change and The Common Good. The Pontifical Academy of Sciences and the Pontifical Academy of Social Sciences.

David King, John Browne, Richard Layard, Gus O’Donnell, Martin Rees, Nicholas Stern, Adair Turner. (2015). A Global Apollo Programme to Combat Climate Change.


Huw Price & Seán Ó hÉigeartaigh. (2014). Policy, decision-making and existential risk. In M. Walport (Ed.), Managing risk not avoiding it: Key themes and policy options, Annual report of the Government Chief Scientific Adviser. London: Government Office for Science.

Nick Beckstead, Nick Bostrom, Niel Bowerman, Owen Cotton-Barratt, Will MacAskill, Sean Ó hÉigeartaigh & Toby Ord (2014). Unprecedented technological risks. Future of Humanity Institute.

Partha Dasgupta & Veerabhadran Ramanathan. (2014). Pursuit of the common good. Science Magazine editorial.

Martin Rees. (2013). Denial of catastrophic risk. Science editorial.

Martin Rees. (2011). From Here to Infinity.

Martin Rees. (2003). Our Final Century?