Climate Change: A Risk Assessment

CSER’s Professor Sir Partha Dasgupta and Lord Martin Rees have both made expert contributions to a recently released risk assessment report on climate change.

Commissioned by the UK Foreign and Commonwealth Office and edited and produced by the Centre for Science and Policy (CSaP) at the University of Cambridge the report has been compiled as an independent contribution to the climate change debate.  It “argues that the risks of climate change should be assessed in the same way as risks to national security, financial stability, or public health. That means we should concentrate especially on understanding what is the worst that could happen, and how likely that might be”.

Read the full report here.

£1 million grant for research into long-term impacts of artificial intelligence

The Centre for the Study of Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity Institute, part of the Oxford Martin School, Oxford will together receive a £1m grant for policy and technical research into the development of machine intelligence.

The Technical Abstract submitted reads “The center will focus explicitly on the long-term impacts of AI, the strategic implications of powerful AI systems as they come to exceed human capabilities in most domains of interest, and the policy responses that could best be used to mitigate the potential risks of this technology.”

Funded by the Open Philanthropy Project and Elon Musk, the grant is from the Future of Life Institute in Boston, USA.

http://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/news/201507_FLI

Margaret Boden public lecture: June 19th

The Centre for the Study of Existential Risk is delighted to host Professor Margaret Boden (Research Professor of Cognitive Science at the Department of Informatics, University of Sussex) for a public lecture on Friday 19th June 2015.

The event is free and open to everyone, but due to expected demand, booking will be necessary. Book here.

Venue: GR06/07 Faculty of English, 9 West Road, Cambridge, CB3 9DP

The event will be followed by a wine reception.

Abstract:
Human-level (“general”) AI is more difficult to achieve than most people think. One key obstacle is relevance, a conceptual version of the frame problem. Another is lack of the semantic web. Yet another is the difficulty of computer vision. So artificial general intelligence (AGI) isn’t on the horizon. Possibly, it may never be achieved. No AGI means no Singularity. Even so, there’s already plenty to worry about—and future AI advances will add more. Areas of concern include unemployment, computer companions, and autonomous robots (some, military). Worries about the (illusory) Singularity have had the good effect of waking up the AI community (and others) to these dangers. At last, they are being taken seriously.

Professor Margaret Boden is a world-leading academic in the study of intelligence, both artificial and otherwise. She is is Research Professor of Cognitive Science at the Department of Informatics at the University of Sussex, where her work embraces the fields of artificial intelligence, psychology, philosophy, cognitive and computer science. She was the founding-Dean of Sussex University’s School of Cognitive and Computing Sciences, a pioneering centre for research into intelligence and the mechanisms underlying it — in humans, other animals, or machines. The School’s teaching and research involves an unusual combination of the humanities, science, and technology.

Professor Boden has also been an important participant in the recent international discussions over the long-term impacts of AI. She was a member of the AAAI’s 08/09 Presidential Panel on long-term AI futures (http://www.aaai.org/Organization/presidential-panel.php), and also took part in the recent Puerto Rico conference on the Future of AI, co-organised by CSER (http://futureoflife.org/misc/ai_conference); she is therefore uniquely well-placed to discuss near- and long-term prospects in AI.

Stuart Russell Lecture Success

Thank you to all who attended the lecture given by Professor Stuart Russell at the Winstanley Lecture Theatre on Friday afternoon.

The event was a great success with a full to capacity room and a clear and thought provoking presentation by Professor Russell.  The weather was also kind to CSER, and combined with the beautiful setting ‘Under the Wren’ at Trinity College, connections were made and many a lively discussion took place during the post-lecture reception.

We will shortly post a video of the complete talk on this website, but in the meantime you can read Callum Chace’s excellent review of the event at his blog http://pandoras-brain.com/.

 

IMG_1769 B&W

CSER Public Lecture: Michael Osborne on Technology at Work

Followers of CSER’s work may also be interested in a forthcoming public lecture by Michael Osborne (Engineering Science, Oxford).

Michael will be giving a public lecture ‘Technology at Work: The Future of Innovation and Employment‘ on Tuesday 12th May 2015, 14.00 – 16.00 at CRASSH in Cambridge.  This is part of a series of lectures by the Technology and Democracy project.

Abstract:

For decades economists, technologists, policy-makers and politicians have argued about whether automation destroys or creates jobs.  And up to now the general consensus has been that while some jobs are eliminated by automation, more new jobs have, in general, been created.  But recently, advances in computing power, machine learning and AI, software, sensor technology and data analytics have brought the “automation” question to the fore again.  People are asking if a radical disruption is under way.  Are we heading into a “second machine age” in which advanced robotics and intelligent computing make occupational categories that were hitherto reserved for humans vulnerable to automation?  One of the most penetrating attempts to answer this question was the research conducted by Oxford scholars Michael Osborne and Carl Frey which resulted in a path-breaking report arguing that 47 per cent of US job categories might be vulnerable to computerisation in the next two decades.

In this Seminar, the first in the new Technology & Democracy project’s series, Michael Osborne discusses his research and its implications.

Michael A Osborne is an expert in the development of machine intelligence in sympathy with societal needs. His work on robust and scalable inference algorithms in Machine Learning has been successfully applied in diverse and challenging contexts, from aiding the detection of planets in distant solar systems to enabling self-driving cars to determine when their maps may have changed due to roadworks. Dr Osborne also has deep interests in the broader societal consequences of machine learning and robotics, and has analysed how intelligent algorithms might soon substitute for human workers.

Dr Osborne is an Associate Professor in Machine Learning, a co-director of the Oxford Martin programme on Technology and Employment, an Official Fellow of Exeter College, and a Faculty Member of the Oxford-Man Institute for Quantitative Finance, all at the University of Oxford.

For further details, visit the CRASSH website.

Stuart Russell Public Lecture

Tickets for Stuart Russell’s public lecture on Friday 15th May 2015 have currently sold out.

There may be a small release of further tickets during the week beginning 11th May 2015. To be considered for these, please add your name to the waiting list via Eventbrite, and you will be contacted should tickets become available.

May we also ask that if you are no longer able to attend the event, that you cancel your Eventbrite booking in order to free up tickets for others who would like to attend.

Thank you for your interest!