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May 2017

Overpopulation: A driver of climate change? w/ Prof Hilary Greaves

May 10 @ 6:00 pm - 7:30 pm
Winstanley Lecture Theatre, Trinity College
Cambridge, CB2 1TQ United Kingdom
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vGzwpUQBXJo It is often remarked that the significant drivers of climate change include not only high and rising levels of fossil fuel use per person, but also high and rising human population size. The logic behind this remark appears at first sight to be simple: climate change is driven by emissions, and total emissions are equal to per-capita emissions multiplied by population, so of course (one might think) higher population will lead to more climate change. I will argue that…

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June 2017

Integrated Assessment of Global Catastrophic Risk and AI with Seth Baum

June 28 @ 4:00 pm - 5:30 pm
Alison Richard Building (ground floor), 7 West Road,
Cambridge, CB3 9DT United Kingdom
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This talk presents the Global Catastrophic Risk Institute’s (GCRI’s) flagship integrated assessment project, with emphasis on risk from artificial intelligence (AI). GCRI defines global catastrophic risk (GCR) as the risk of events large enough to significantly harm or even destroy human civilization at the global scale. Of particular interest are global catastrophes that could affect the long-term trajectory of human civilization. The GCRI integrated assessment combines quantitative risk and decision analysis with qualitative reasoning in a framework for the concurrent…

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July 2017

The Tragedy of the Uncommons: On the Psychology, Politics and Policy of Existential Risk

July 26 @ 5:15 pm - 7:00 pm

Video coming soon. This event was part of the Hauser-Raspe Visiting Expert Programme. In this public lecture, Professor Jonathan B. Wiener, formulated a distinct type of problem: ‘the tragedy of the uncommons’, involving the misperception and mismanagement of rare catastrophic risks. The ‘tragedy of the commons’ is a classic type of problem, involving multiple actors who face individual incentives to deplete shared resources and thereby impose harms on others. Such tragedies can be overcome if societies learn through experience to…

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Decision Theory & the Future of Artificial Intelligence (registration required)

July 28 - July 31
Trinity College, Cambridge,
Cambridge , CB2 1TQ United Kingdom
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This workshop is part of the Hauser-Raspe Workshop Series. There is increasing interest in the challenges of ensuring that the long-term development of artificial intelligence (AI) is safe and beneficial. Moreover, despite different perspectives, there is much common ground between mathematical and philosophical decision theory, on the one hand, and AI, on the other. The aim of this workshop – intended to be the first in a regular series organised jointly by MCMP at LMU and CFI and CSER at…

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Health Emergencies, Resource Allocation and Individual Health Security

July 31 @ 4:00 pm - 5:30 pm
Alison Richard Building (ground floor), 7 West Road,
Cambridge, CB3 9DT United Kingdom
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This event was part of the Hauser-Raspe Visiting Expert Programme. Seminar presented by Jon Herington, co-hosted by the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk and the Cambridge Infectious Diseases Interdisciplinary Research Centre Abstract: When faced with a health emergency (e.g. SARS, Ebola, natural disasters), health care workers must choose whether to allocate resources to interventions which prioritize the emergency, at the expense of interventions which address ordinary health problems (e.g. malaria, AIDS, maternal mortality). Some have argued that devoting…

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September 2017
Free

Nukes of Hazard: Mapping the Risks Emerging Technologies Pose to Nuclear Weapons Modernization

September 25 @ 5:15 pm - 6:45 pm
The Winstanley Lecture Theatre, Trinity College
Cambridge, CB2 1TQ United Kingdom
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Despite President Trump’s claims that his first order was “to renovate and modernize” the US nuclear arsenal, efforts at nuclear modernization began in 2014 under former President Barack Obama. The plan is expected to cost upwards of $1 trillion dollars over the life cycle of the new systems, with $400 billion of that spent through 2024. The modernization efforts are required if the US nuclear triad—ground based missiles, bombers and submarines—are to be a credible deterrent. However, there is more…

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